Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.048071 0.056032 0.064775 0.075072 0.086850 0.099882 0.115375
2025-05-25 0.035279 0.045465 0.057685 0.073356 0.092843 0.116197 0.146214
2025-06-01 0.027645 0.038918 0.053527 0.073687 0.100597 0.135070 0.182328
2025-06-08 0.021531 0.032856 0.048593 0.071780 0.104729 0.149466 0.214299
2025-06-15 0.018625 0.030499 0.048029 0.075353 0.116302 0.174687 0.263311
2025-06-22 0.015524 0.027178 0.045394 0.075316 0.122413 0.192637 0.303807
2025-06-29 0.012718 0.023736 0.041919 0.073298 0.125006 0.205361 0.337585
2025-07-06 0.010696 0.021195 0.039416 0.072325 0.128873 0.220114 0.375569
2025-07-13 0.009814 0.020493 0.039857 0.076237 0.141031 0.248977 0.438396
2025-07-20 0.008892 0.019535 0.039669 0.078944 0.151324 0.275605 0.499816
2025-07-27 0.007557 0.017510 0.037185 0.077091 0.153259 0.288146 0.538447
2025-08-03 0.006561 0.015992 0.035427 0.076317 0.156958 0.303914 0.583796
2025-08-10 0.005544 0.014256 0.033018 0.074030 0.157710 0.314784 0.622048
2025-08-17 0.004743 0.012852 0.031076 0.072412 0.159549 0.327795 0.665376
2025-08-24 0.004211 0.011983 0.030149 0.072778 0.165359 0.348759 0.725299
2025-08-31 0.003605 0.010798 0.028319 0.070911 0.166305 0.360323 0.768142
2025-09-07 0.003408 0.010643 0.028868 0.074455 0.179111 0.396502 0.862094
2025-09-14 0.003032 0.009922 0.027933 0.074423 0.184085 0.417173 0.926656
2025-09-21 0.002611 0.008976 0.026278 0.072430 0.184411 0.428170 0.972303
2025-09-28 0.002293 0.008265 0.025112 0.071469 0.186968 0.444053 1.029292
2025-10-05 0.002205 0.008251 0.025816 0.075339 0.201311 0.486615 1.146052
2025-10-12 0.002077 0.008078 0.026051 0.078017 0.213045 0.524338 1.255099
2025-10-19 0.001809 0.007377 0.024668 0.076184 0.213473 0.536703 1.309513